Let me rephrase, if you go by the 10 point must system, then yes, I can see people giving Rampage the first two rounds. If you look at it more holistically, who landed the cleaner strikes, who came closer to ending the fight, then for sure it was Machida. While I do agree that Quinton was defintely the aggressor, I'm not willing to give him the nod for ocatgon control. Coming forward and swinging at air cannot be considered effective aggression, just aggression.
Lyoto did what he usually does, which is go backwards. If Quinton was able to cut off the cage and corner and explode on Lyoto, I would consider that to be true octagon control. I think the clearest indication that Quinton lost was the fact that he felt he was the loser and was absolutely shocked when he was awarded the win. I can't remember the last time when a high profile fight ended with the victor basically saying the other guy whooped him.
Personally, I had the first two rounds 10-10, I don't really think either guy did anything to clearly win either round. Quinton landed more strikes to the head, but I felt that more damage was done by Lyoto's body and leg kicks. I'm curious to see how the winner of Bader/Jones fares against either of these guys.